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محفوظ شدہ دستاويزات اندراج:
9783639407556 - Beck Dominik: Evaluating Probability Forecasts - کتاب

(?):

Evaluating Probability Forecasts (2014) (?)

حوالگی سے: ریاست ہائے متحدہ امریکہجرمن کتابیہ کتاب اس ناول کا ہےنئی کتاب
ISBN:

9783639407556 (?) یا 3639407555

, جرمن میں, BLUES KIDS OF AMER 01/10/2014, اس ناول کا, نیا
New Book. This item is printed on demand. Shipped from US This item is printed on demand.
سے کوائف 19/10/2014 03:05h
ISBN (متبادل کی بہت سی علامتوں): 3-639-40755-5, 978-3-639-40755-6
محفوظ شدہ دستاويزات اندراج:
9783639407556 - Dominik Beck: Evaluating Probability Forecasts - کتاب

(?):

Evaluating Probability Forecasts (2014) (?)

حوالگی سے: جرمنیجرمن کتابیہ کتاب اس ناول کا ہےنئی کتابریپرانٹ
ISBN:

9783639407556 (?) یا 3639407555

, جرمن میں, Av Akademikerverlag Mrz 2014, اس ناول کا, نیا, ریپرانٹ
This item is printed on demand - Print on Demand Titel. Neuware - Forecasting is of utmost importance in statistics. Besides the very popular point forecasts, there are probability forecasts which naturally incorporate the uncertainty associated with a prediction. Probability forecasts have first been used in meteorology, however, applications are manifold, E.g. in economics the Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF). In order to determine 'good' probability forecasts, the concepts of sharpness and calibration are introduced. Calibration which is the statistical consistency between the forecasts and the observations, is assessed by the Probability Integral Transform (PIT). Sharpness measures the extent to which a probabilistic forecast is spread out and is assessed on the basis of so called scoring rules. These scoring rules are introduced along with some properties, the most important being (strict) propriety. Different scoring rules are introduced such as the quadratic score, the log score or the Ranked Probability Score. The empirical analysis is based on the SPF dataset. In addition to the single forecasts of the participants to the SPF, linear and logarithmic combinations with different weighting schemes of these single forecasts are analysed. Finally, statistical tests for equal predictice power in the sense of the well-known Diebold-Mariano test of these combinations are introduced and used to search for the best combination scheme. 92 pp. Englisch
زیادہ…
سے کوائف 19/10/2014 03:05h
ISBN (متبادل کی بہت سی علامتوں): 3-639-40755-5, 978-3-639-40755-6
محفوظ شدہ دستاويزات اندراج:
9783639407556 - Beck Dominik: Evaluating Probability Forecasts - کتاب

(?):

Evaluating Probability Forecasts (2012) (?)

حوالگی سے: جرمنیجرمن کتابیہ کتاب اس ناول کا ہےنئی کتابریپرانٹ
ISBN:

9783639407556 (?) یا 3639407555

, جرمن میں, AV Akademikerverlag, اس ناول کا, نیا, ریپرانٹ
This item is printed on demand for shipment within 3 working days.
سے کوائف 19/10/2014 03:05h
ISBN (متبادل کی بہت سی علامتوں): 3-639-40755-5, 978-3-639-40755-6
محفوظ شدہ دستاويزات اندراج:
9783639407556 - Beck Dominik: Evaluating Probability Forecasts - کتاب

(?):

Evaluating Probability Forecasts (2014) (?)

حوالگی سے: جرمنیجرمن کتابیہ کتاب اس ناول کا ہےنئی کتاب
ISBN:

9783639407556 (?) یا 3639407555

, جرمن میں, BLUES KIDS OF AMER 01/10/2014, اس ناول کا, نیا
New Book. Shipped from UK. This item is printed on demand.
سے کوائف 19/10/2014 03:05h
ISBN (متبادل کی بہت سی علامتوں): 3-639-40755-5, 978-3-639-40755-6
محفوظ شدہ دستاويزات اندراج:
9783639407556 - Beck, Dominik: Evaluating Probability Forecasts - کتاب

(?):

Evaluating Probability Forecasts (?)

حوالگی سے: جرمنیجرمن کتابیہ کتاب اس ناول کا ہےنئی کتاب
ISBN:

9783639407556 (?) یا 3639407555

, جرمن میں, Av Akademikerverlag, اس ناول کا, نیا
مفت شپنگ
Forecasting is of utmost importance in statistics. Besides the very popular point forecasts, there are probability forecasts which naturally incorporate the uncertainty associated with a prediction. Probability forecasts have first been used in meteorology, however, applications are manifold, E.g. in economics the Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF). In order to determine "good" probability forecasts, the concepts of sharpness and calibration are introduced. Calibration which is the statistical consistency between the forecasts and the observations, is assessed by the Probability Integral Transform (PIT). Sharpness measures the extent to which a probabilistic forecast is spread out and is assessed on the basis of so called scoring rules. These scoring rules are introduced along with some properties, the most important being (strict) propriety. Different scoring rules are introduced such as the quadratic score, the log score or the Ranked Probability Score. The empirical analysis is based on the SPF dataset. In addition to the single forecasts of the participants to the SPF, linear and logarithmic combinations with different weighting schemes of these single forecasts are analysed. Finally, statistical tests for equal predictice power in the sense of the well-known Diebold-Mariano test of these combinations are introduced and used to search for the best combination scheme.92 S. 220 mmVersandfertig in 3-5 Tagen, Softcover
زیادہ…
سے کوائف 24/09/2015 16:49h
ISBN (متبادل کی بہت سی علامتوں): 3-639-40755-5, 978-3-639-40755-6

9783639407556

تمام دستیاب کتابوں کے لیے اپنے ٹیلی فون نمبر تلاش کریں 9783639407556 کی قیمتوں میں تیزی اور آسانی سے موازنہ کریں اور فوری طور پر آرڈر ۔

دستیاب نایاب کتابیں، استعمال شدہ کتابیں اور دوسرا ہاتھ کتب کے عنوان "Evaluating Probability Forecasts: Theory and Application to Macroeconomic Survey Data" سے Beck, Dominik مکمل طور پر درج ہیں ۔

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